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17 Jan 18      US president’s statement on Iran sanctions waivers increases risk of snapback, undermining JCPOA’s longevity
15 Jan 18      Declining militant attacks indicate lowering risk in Pakistan but rallies and religious minorities remain likely targets
08 Jan 18      Bilateral talks are strongest indicator of whether North Korea will carry out provocations during Olympics
05 Jan 18      Islamic State unlikely to successfully challenge Hamas; greater frequency of rocket attacks into Israel likely

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